If you’re feeling unsure about what to do at your startup, lead yourself and your team through an OODA loop.
🔬 Observe all that you can (facts)
👀 Orient everyone to those facts (context)
🧠 Decide which direction to go next (focus)
⚡️Act on that decision (execute)
Repeat ♻️ (View Tweet)
People overestimate the value of probabilistic forecasting in domains where you get very few at-bats and choice is limited.
Playing poker: odds are everything.
Must escape through an asteroid field: never tell me the odds. (View Tweet)
Everyone should outsource things where you get no praise for being right, there’s little room for creativity, being clever creates risk, and you get negative attention any time you’re wrong.
Paradoxically, these are also the hallmarks of amazing infrastructure businesses. (View Tweet)
