Frontier Round 10 — Part R
Half B of round-10 research slicing: 6 targets — Goodspeed Wingrave register re-check, Eva Brown SC-side alternate route, two Robert-Goodspeed-line verification dispatches (jennings-v-goodspeed-1649, Robert Goodspeed Sr's own father), and two Perminter-Morgan-citation-trail dispatches (James Morgan Sr, Mary Davis).
Net effect this round: no new ahnentafel additions from this half. One confidence downgrade identified (Robert Goodspeed Sr's paternity from Nicholas Goodspeed), one confidence downgrade recommended (James Morgan Sr/Mary Davis Morgan as parents of Susannah Morgan), one long-standing disagreement (Alice Harris / ahn 11297) remains unresolved, one false-merge risk (Jennings v Goodspeed 1649) ruled out, and one dead-end target (Eva Brown SC parents) confirmed structurally dead for now.
Headlines
- Goodspeed Wingrave register: no independent second source found (5th round of trying). Full text of G. Andrews Moriarty's 1928 NEHGR article now in hand verbatim from archive.org (not just excerpt) — surfaces Moriarty's own caveat that the Wingrave register volume covering 1550–1611 is itself "evidently copies of the original records," not the original loose-leaf entries. FreeREG has zero Wingrave coverage; the 1566 Visitation of Buckinghamshire is a clean (expected) negative; TNA Discovery surfaces only unrelated/later Goodspeeds. All four Goodspeed-line people (ahn 11296, 22592, 22593, 45184) stay PROBABLE, unchanged from round 9, now with stronger/quotable documentation.
- Robert Goodspeed Sr's paternity from Nicholas Goodspeed (ahn 45184 → ahn 22592) is weaker than the current PROBABLE tier suggests — recommend downgrade to POSSIBLE. Moriarty's own bracketed "[his son]" gloss on the 1558 court-roll succession entry is his editorial insertion, not a documentary statement; the primary court-roll text itself only records a copyhold heriot passing to Robert on Nicholas's death, not a stated father-son relationship.
- Jennings v Goodspeed 1649 (TNA C 5/405/103) is CONFIRMED NOT the same Robert Goodspeed as ahn 11296. The 1658 Wingrave will names the testator's wife "Alice"; the 1649 Chancery suit names the defendant's wife "Agnes." Do not merge. (Structurally plausible as the testator's own deceased son Robert, per the will's "grandchild Robert son of Robert deceased" bequest — but unproven, not stated anywhere in either document.)
- Alice Harris (ahn 11297 candidate) as Robert Goodspeed's wife / Roger Goodspeed's mother: round-9's slicer A/B disagreement is NOT resolved this round. The same Moriarty citation already known in round 9 (m. 6 Nov 1609, Soulbury, per Phillimore's Bucks Marriages vol. 1) was re-confirmed, but the specific objection that blocked her addition in round 9 (whether Goodspeed 1907's "unknown" language extends beyond immigration circumstances to parentage) was not addressed by any target this round. Per the tree's conservative discipline, she stays OFF the viz.
- James Morgan Sr (ahn 414) — new same-name-conflation red flag. At least 4–5 mutually conflicting reported death years circulate for him online (1765 / ~1784 / 1785 / 1804 / 1810), and a Revolutionary War pension (S7251) cross-referenced near his entry in a Randolph County NC library PDF almost certainly belongs to a different, much younger James Morgan (pension applied 1834; our man would be ~105). Combined with round 9's finding that the Perminter/James Jr/Susannah parentage rests on one duplicated, uncited paragraph, this round recommends downgrading the parent-link confidence for Susannah Morgan (ahn 207) ← James Morgan Sr/Mary Davis Morgan (ahn 414/415) from PROBABLE to POSSIBLE.
- Eva C. Brown (SC-side parents): clean dead end this round, not a new lead. South Carolina has no state-level civil vital records before 1911 (marriage) / 1915 (birth, death) — confirmed by three independent summaries. Multiple free-search avenues (Chronicling America, USGenWeb classic, rootsweb ~scoconee, FindAGrave direct search) were blocked by bot-protection or outage, not genuine content negatives — worth retrying with a real browser session, not worth re-trying headless.
- Mary Davis (ahn 415): confirmed the marriage citation (18 Jul 1754) and the Perminter-birth citation (29 Aug 1755, "to James Morgan and Mary his wife") trace to the identical Reamy p.87 source — not two independent records, just one compiled family-group entry cited twice. Her own birth/death/parentage remain completely unknown.
VIZ-CHANGES
| ahn | op | field | new value | confidence | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11296 | UPDATE_STORY | bio | Add Moriarty's own register caveat: "The entries from 1550 to the end of 1611 in the first volume of these registers are in one handwriting, except for a few entries at the end of the volume, and are evidently copies of the original records." (NEHGR vol.82, pp.445-446) | CONFIRMED (verbatim quote of Moriarty's own footnote, read directly from archive.org full text) | Strengthens documentation of why the underlying register entries themselves stay PROBABLE, not CONFIRMED — the register the article draws on was already a fair copy, not the original. |
| 11296 | UPDATE_STORY | bio | Add full 1658 will detail: wife Alice; sons Henry, Nicholas, Roger, Bennett, Thomas (£6 13s 4d each to Roger/Bennett/Thomas "if they or any of them return from beyond the seas within ten years after my decease"); daughters Margaret (Bate), Mary (Seabrooke), Jane (Lucas); deceased son Robert whose son (also Robert, under 21) received a grandchild's bequest; son John Goodspeede, residuary legatee/executor, proved the will 13 Feb 1660/1. | PROBABLE (Moriarty-compiled verbatim quote of the will text; single-compiler source per standing tree convention) | Materially richer will detail than round 9 captured; directly supports the will as basis for Roger Goodspeed's English origin. |
| 22592 | UPDATE_STORY | bio | Add: Robert Goodspeed Sr inherited copyhold land in Wingrave (Eastwellwyk close + 1 virgate Rowsham/Wingrave, ~16s/yr rent) 24 Sept 1558 on Nicholas Goodspeed's death; taxed 10s on £6 goods in the 1559 lay subsidy; served as Wingrave manor-court juror (documented sittings 1560, 1563, 1565-69, 1576, 1580-82); at least 9 children baptized at Wingrave 1553-1583. | PROBABLE (Moriarty-compiled, single source) | Fleshes out a previously thin bio for ahn 22592. |
| 22592 | UPDATE_PARENTS | father_confidence (link to ahn 45184, Nicholas Goodspeed) | DOWNGRADE from PROBABLE to POSSIBLE | POSSIBLE | Moriarty's bracketed "[his son]" identifying Robert as Nicholas's son is his own editorial insertion; the primary 1558 manor court-roll text itself only records a copyhold heriot/succession, not a stated father-son relationship. No will, baptism, or other document names Robert as Nicholas's son. This is a documentary-inference gap, not a new contradiction — recommend downgrading the existing PROBABLE link. |
| 207 | UPDATE_PARENTS | parent_confidence (link to ahn 414 James Morgan Sr / ahn 415 Mary Davis Morgan) | DOWNGRADE from PROBABLE to POSSIBLE (recommended, founder/implementer discretion) | POSSIBLE | Round 9 already flagged this parentage as resting on "a single uncited paragraph duplicated near-verbatim" and flagged it "for a future-round downgrade review." This round's dedicated dispatch (a) confirmed the marriage (1754) and Perminter's birth (1755) citations trace to the identical Reamy p.87 source, not independent records, and (b) surfaced a NEW same-name-conflation risk: 4-5 mutually conflicting reported death years for James Morgan Sr across trees, plus a Rev-War pension (S7251) likely misattributed to him in a Randolph Co. library PDF. This is the "clean downgrade signal" round 9 asked for. |
No ADD_PERSON or UPDATE_DATE changes from this half this round.
NEW-PEOPLE
None at PROBABLE+ tier from this half of round 10. (Rev. Perminter Morgan was investigated as a collateral relative — sibling of Susannah Morgan, ahn 207, not a direct ancestor — and every biographical detail about him, dates, spouse Gracie Jones, ministry chronology, traces only to FindAGrave/WikiTree/Geni tree-site paragraphs this round, confidence POSSIBLE. Per project rules, POSSIBLE-tier findings and non-direct-line collaterals do not get an ahn number or a VIZ-CHANGE; documented here for completeness only.)
ESTIMATES-RETIRED
None from this half this round. All dates discussed (Robert Goodspeed's baptism/burial, Robert Sr's marriage/burial, Isabel Allyn's marriage/burial) were already real dates carried over from round 9's Moriarty sourcing, not estimated placeholders.
CONTRADICTIONS
Jennings v Goodspeed 1649 (TNA C 5/405/103) vs. the 1658 Wingrave will — wife-name mismatch. TNA catalog: "Defendants: Robert Goodspeed, Agnes Goodspeed his wife, and another... Subject: property in Stoke Mandeville, Buckinghamshire... Date: 1649." The 1658 will (NEHGR vol.82, p.464): "To my wife Alice all my household stuff in my house at Wingrave..." Agnes ≠ Alice. Resolution applied: do NOT merge the 1649 Chancery defendant with ahn 11296. Flagged as a possible but unproven match to the testator's own deceased son Robert (named in the will as father of a grandson Robert, under 21 in 1658) — a lead, not a fact.
Robert Goodspeed Sr's paternity from Nicholas Goodspeed — inference, not documentary statement. Moriarty's pedigree gloss "[his son]" over the 1558 court-roll heriot/succession entry is editorial, not a quote from the roll itself. Currently on the tree at PROBABLE (round 9); this round's dedicated look at the underlying text finds the primary document doesn't actually say it. Recommend downgrade to POSSIBLE (see VIZ-CHANGES).
James Morgan Sr's (ahn 414) death date — at least 5 conflicting values, unresolved. WikiTree Morgan-1173: "after 23 Feb 1804, probably Rowan County, NC." A Geni profile (id 6000000000729993200) is titled "James Morgan, Sr. (c.1729-1785)" but a search-engine cache of the SAME id/URL shows "James Stephen Morgan (1729-1765)." A web-search snippet reports "died in 1810." A Randolph County NC Library PDF possibly shows "died post 18 Jan 1784 in Randolph Cty" but column extraction was unreliable. Currently on the tree as ed:~1804 ("two conflicting secondary sources; 1804 used as better-supported," per round 7). Logged, NOT adjudicated — matches the tree's existing GW Gibby 1909/1915 precedent. Do not treat 1804 as settled without a primary probate, pension-file, or parish-register verification.
Rev-War pension S7251 "James Morgan" is very likely NOT our ahn 414. The pensioner applied 20 Oct 1834 from Yancey County NC, service 1781-82 — our James Morgan Sr (b. c.1729) would be ~105 years old in 1834. A Randolph Co. library PDF cross-references S7251 near what may be our James Morgan Sr's row. Do not use S7251 to corroborate ahn 414's Rev-War service or DAR record without independent confirmation.
Alice Harris / ahn 11297: round-9 slicer disagreement remains open. No target this round produced evidence that resolves whether Goodspeed 1907's "it has not been learned from what country Roger (1) came... nor of Alice" extends to blocking the English parentage claim (Alice Harris m. Robert Goodspeed 6 Nov 1609 Soulbury, per Phillimore's Bucks Marriages vol.1, as printed in Moriarty's own pedigree) or is narrowly about the couple's American immigration circumstances only. Status unchanged: NOT added to the tree.
FOUNDER-HANDS
- FamilySearch DGS 7835986 ("St. George's Protestant Episcopal Church Register and Vestry Proceedings, 1681-1799," 1888 copy), image ~1125, p.372 — view the actual James Morgan/Mary Davis marriage entry directly; login-gated, would also let us locate the Perminter birth entry (Reamy's p.87 equivalent) in the same digitized collection.
- AmericanAncestors.org (NEHGS) subscription — read Stewart Baldwin, "The Family of Edward Morgan of Pennsylvania: Daniel Boone's Maternal Kin," The Genealogist 15:1/15:2/16:1/16:2 (2001-02) — likely the actual scholarly source underlying the WikiTree Morgan family pages, cited via an americanancestors.org digital-image link.
- DAR Genealogical Research System (dar.org) — free but interactive; look up Ancestor #A132519 "James Morgan" for DAR-vetted birth/death dates and supporting document citations, which could help settle the 5-way death-date conflict on ahn 414.
- bucksfhs.org.uk (Buckinghamshire Family History Society) — returns a Cloudflare JS-challenge (HTTP 403) on every headless attempt; a live browser session could reveal Wingrave parish-register coverage FreeREG currently lacks.
- Old Pendleton District SCGS (oldpendleton.scgen.org) — has a live B-surnames cemetery/records index for the historical Pendleton District (Oconee/Pickens/Anderson Co SC); the guessed file path 404'd. Email volunteers LaMarr Brooks (thomasbrooks1@bellsouth.net) or Ann Sheriff (claytonroom@swu.edu, 864-644-5000) directly with the Eva C. Brown query — a live, responsive-looking volunteer project.
- SCDAH Online Records Index (archivesindex.sc.gov) — has a free search box that can't be submitted headlessly; needs a real browser/Playwright session to actually query "Brown."
- Buckinghamshire Archives CALM catalogue (calm.buckinghamshire.gov.uk) — timed out headlessly this round and in round 9; retry live, or a founder-hands look, for the original Wingrave Archdeaconry probate/court-roll records Moriarty cites by folio.
Per-target detail
1. goodspeed-wingrave-primary-register (ahn 11296 / 22592 / 22593 / 45184)
Confirmed no independent second source exists for the Wingrave register entries (5th distinct round attempting this). Located and read the complete Moriarty 1928 NEHGR article (archive.org newenglandhistor0000vari). Key verbatim quote (CONFIRMED — Moriarty's own footnote, directly read): "The entries from 1550 to the end of 1611 in the first volume of these registers are in one handwriting, except for a few entries at the end of the volume, and are evidently copies of the original records." (NEHGR vol.82, pp.445-446). Register entries themselves stay PROBABLE (secondary-compiled, no independent second transcription). FreeREG: zero Wingrave coverage (11 Buckinghamshire hits, all Amersham/Chesham/Drayton-Parslow). Visitation of Buckinghamshire 1566: zero Goodspeed/Wingrave mentions (clean negative — yeomen, not gentry). TNA Discovery: only an unrelated 1757 will and the 1649 Chancery suit (see target 3 below) surfaced. All four people stay PROBABLE, unchanged tier, stronger documentation.
2. eva-brown-sc-side-alternate
No parents found. SC has no state civil vital records before 1911/1915 (CONFIRMED via three independent summaries: FamilySearch Wiki, Anderson County Library, SCDAH). Multiple free-search avenues blocked by bot-protection (Chronicling America 403/404 on 4 URL patterns; FindAGrave search endpoint 403; rootsweb ~scoconee DNS failure / 403; usgwarchives.net connection refused) rather than genuine content negatives. New leads: Old Pendleton District SCGS B-surname index (needs correct URL or volunteer email), SCGenWeb county cemetery sub-pages (not yet crawled), FindAGrave cemetery-browse (vs. search) may dodge the bot-block, SCDAH interactive search box (needs Playwright).
3. r2-robert-goodspeed (jennings-v-goodspeed-1649 target)
Confirms the frontier agent's proposed link between the 1658 Wingrave testator and the 1649 Stoke Mandeville Chancery defendant is wrong: wife Alice (will) vs. wife Agnes (Chancery). Independently re-pulled both the TNA catalog description and the NEHGR will text directly (not relying on the frontier agent's paraphrase). Structurally plausible alternate link: the testator's own deceased son Robert (per the will's "grandchild Robert son of Robert deceased" bequest) — flagged as a lead only, not applied.
4. r2-james-morgan-sr- (Perminter Morgan Sr, target labeled by parentName "James Morgan Sr.")
All Perminter biographical detail (b. 29 Aug 1755, ordained 1791, first pastor Mountain Creek then Bethel Baptist, d. 28 Apr 1824, m. Gracie Jones ~1775, ~12 children) traces only to FindAGrave/WikiTree/Geni-type tree paragraphs — POSSIBLE, not added. Main finding: the marriage citation (FamilySearch DGS 7835986, p.372) is a specific, checkable archival citation (PROBABLE) but not viewed (login-gated). James Morgan Sr's own death date is contested 4-5 ways across trees — new conflation-risk flag (see Contradictions #3). S7251 pension mismatch flagged (Contradictions #4).
5. r2-mary-davis
No independent birth/death/burial record for Mary Davis found. Confirmed the marriage (18 Jul 1754) and Perminter's-birth (29 Aug 1755) citations are the SAME Reamy p.87 source cited twice, not two independent records. 12 sources checked (WikiTree, Geni, FindAGrave, MyHeritage, ourfamtree, rootsweb, Boyer 2018 book, Harford Co Historical Society, DAR GRS, Google Books, HathiTrust) all repeat the identical paragraph. Quarantine note: ancestorsinaprons.com's "James Morgan Sr" article is about a completely different man (1607-1685, Roxbury/Connecticut) — a name-collision risk, distinct from the already-quarantined Welsh Morgan-15829.
6. r2-robert-goodspeed-sr-of-wingrave... (Nicholas Goodspeed's paternity of Robert Goodspeed Sr)
Robert Goodspeed Sr's biography enriched (1559 lay subsidy, manor-court juror duty 1560-82, copyhold inheritance 1558, 9 children 1553-1583) — PROBABLE, single Moriarty source. Key finding: the Nicholas-is-father-of-Robert-Sr link is an editorial inference over a copyhold-succession court-roll entry, not a documentary statement — recommend downgrade to POSSIBLE (see VIZ-CHANGES and Contradictions #2). Confirms (via the 1907 Goodspeed genealogy, read in full) that the entire Wingrave pedigree was unknown before Moriarty's 1928 discovery — CONFIRMED verbatim quote: "the foreign origin of Roger and Alice has not been discovered...nothing short of an extended research of the records throughout England will disclose this information." (Weston A. Goodspeed, History of the Goodspeed Family, 1907).